The concept of urban green development promotes the development of intelligent technology as a new energy power, so that digital intelligent technology continues to enter into people’s vision, but also gradually accepted by the people. However, there is a lack of research on intelligent perception that focuses on residents’ attitudes, so this paper takes the theory of perceived value as the basis to analyze the influence path of intelligent perception of urban green space. Based on structural equation modeling, this paper explores the relationship between intelligent perception and residents’ attitudes in terms of perceived functional value, perceived emotional value, perceived social value, cognitive value and perceived risk. Then the intelligent perception prediction model for urban green space is constructed by using variational modal decomposition (VMD) combined with support vector regression (SVR), and the actual performance of this paper’s model is examined through experiments. This paper takes City Y as an example for prediction, and the results show that the intelligent perception of green space in City Y from 2023 to 2026 continues to show an upward trend. In addition, in order to prove the superiority of this paper’s model, its MAE, MAPE, RMSE and IA are compared with the prediction models of ARMA, BP, SVR and RF, respectively, and this paper’s model achieves the best results with the values of 4.2495, 15.8082, 3.5247 and 0.5225 for each index. In conclusion, the prediction model proposed in this paper has high accuracy in intelligent perception prediction.